The XRP price likely has an upward move ahead driven by technical and market signals. A classic chart formation and a moving averages crossover provide short-term confirmation, while demand and risk factors will decide if the move continues. The path forward hinges on clearing resistance near $3 with volume and on momentum from anticipated ETF developments.
Technical setup
A “cup and handle” formation suggests consolidation before a potential breakout, an argument for breakout traders according to BTCC. This pattern often precedes upward moves, but it does not guarantee continuation without supporting volume. A crossover between the 21 EMA and the 55 SMA indicates rising bullish momentum. This signal brings short-term technical confirmation, though its durability depends on broader market participation.
Key resistance near $3
Structural resistance around $3 remains a major barrier. Several analyses note that previous attempts to move past that threshold met significant selling, generating profit-taking and retracements, according to experts. Overcoming this level with volume is necessary to validate a broader bullish leg.
Demand catalysts and participation
Expectations for approval and launch of XRP ETFs are fueling demand. According to specialized media, ProShares announced the launch of an XRP ETF for september 18, 2025, which could attract institutional flows and increase liquidity in spot and derivatives markets. This milestone frames a possible catalyst for institutional capital inflows.
On-chain and market data point to greater participation and leverage. Reports indicate net positive flows to exchanges and an increase in daily active addresses, alongside a rise in derivatives open interest according to experts. These indicators raise the probability of larger moves, but also increase the risk of liquidations during volatility spikes.
Growth in open interest and the speculated launch of futures by large operators are cited as signs of institutional interest. More leverage can amplify both gains and losses, so participants should manage margin and risk.
Scenarios and triggers
If XRP breaks above $3 with volume and institutional backing, analysts cite room for more ambitious targets. The targets range from $10 to much higher scenarios, which would require additional adoption and regulatory clarity according to the cited sources. A lack of confirmation could lead to further corrections due to profit-taking.
A verifiable milestone is ProShares’ launch of an XRP ETF on september 18, 2025. This event is a possible trigger for increased demand and could shape the next directional move.
XRP’s near-term path depends on confirming technical signals with volume, clearing the $3 resistance, and the impact of anticipated ETF developments. Traders and investors should weigh the rising participation and leverage against the risk of volatility-driven liquidations and profit-taking.
