XRP slipped even after ETF clearances, as the Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF and the new REX‑Osprey XRP ETF cleared regulatory hurdles but price sank and stayed capped below the $3 resistance. Institutions sold into the launch while sentiment remained flat. Long‑term holders added through the drop, softening the downside and leaving the next move dependent on their pace and nearby technical levels.
Institutional selling on day one cut odds of an immediate surge and trimmed short‑term liquidity, keeping the market pinned beneath the $3 resistance. Sentiment stayed flat as profit exits capped the rally, even with the positive headline of ETF approvals.
Long‑term holders accumulated during the dip, which lowers crash risk and tempered downside speed. A breach of the $2.77–$2.85 support band still risks a deeper pullback, and sketches a bull flag pattern that points upward only if resistance breaks with volume.
The XRP projection for 2025
Projections gathered a base track places price between $3.30 and $4.02 on mild ETF inflows, optimistic views set $5, and long‑term models reach $8–$25 if adoption widens. Forecasts assume yearly ETF inflows of $7–8 billion under favorable macro conditions; otherwise accumulation slows.
The next key marker arrives in October 2025, when the SEC rules on several spot‑XRP ETFs. The outcome and subsequent flows will decide whether approval fuels steady bids or repeats the profit‑sale cycle seen at launch.
In sum, steady accumulation by long‑term holders helps stabilize the market, but price still hinges on holding critical support and breaking resistance with volume as the October 2025 SEC decisions approach.
