HBAR’s price decreased on September 16, 2025 after late-day selling erased earlier gains, refocusing attention on key support and market liquidity. The move drew scrutiny to the $0.21–$0.22 support area and a reported 30% drop in Hedera stablecoin market size, developments that can amplify selling pressure and impact short-term traders and smaller portfolios.
Context and immediate market impact
HBAR failed to hold its rally on September 16, 2025, giving back ground into the close according to a Yahoo Finance report. The token returned to a support range near $0.21–$0.22, and a decisive break and hold below that band could trigger stop orders and extend downside pressure.
Records noted indicate a roughly 30% contraction in Hedera’s stablecoin market size, as reported by TheCurrencyAnalytics. Less money available in the system can intensify price declines during rapid sell-offs, compounding the effect of late-session selling waves.
Sentiment readings point to neutrality, with the Fear and Greed Index at 52 per on-chain data. Factors highlighted—selling by large firms, unclear rules, potential token supply, and the stablecoin market shrink—are cited as sources of selling pressure that complicate near-term direction.
Technical levels, on-chain notes, and outlook
Intraday action included a late-hour slip from about $0.237 to $0.235, per Yahoo Finance. Losing the $0.21–$0.22 support would mark a sentiment shift that could unleash clustered sell orders, whereas holding it preserves the current range structure.
Analysts suggest a potential recovery toward $0.28 by October 2025 if support holds. Longer-term views in the source point to targets between $2.00 and $3.00 over 3–5 years, while negative patterns suggest potential declines of around 30%, underscoring two-sided risk.
For traders, the $0.21–$0.22 area is the immediate level to watch, with a high-volume breakdown likely prompting de-risking or hedging. For managers, reduced stablecoin liquidity raises slippage risk during larger sells. Short-term bias appears lower unless support is reclaimed with clear buying, making liquidity trends a key determinant of near-term momentum.
The next noted upside marker is $0.28 into October 2025 if the $0.21–$0.22 base holds. Until then, the interaction with this support and the available liquidity in the system will shape the odds of further downside versus a rebound.
