The Hedera HBAR price is currently in a technical definition phase, having formed a descending broadening wedge pattern that suggests an imminent breakout to the upside. Trading near $0.0923, the asset is attempting to overcome key resistances while the market watches closely for the possible liquidation of massive short positions.
This technical structure, identified by financial analysts, indicates that a move above $0.1012 could trigger the forced closure of contracts, generating automatic purchases of 4.34 million. In this way, the selling pressure that has dominated recent sessions seems to be losing strength, allowing the Hedera HBAR price to seek stabilization to initiate a significant rebound.
Bullish divergence and the weakening of selling pressure
A fundamental piece of data supporting this thesis is the appearance of a bullish divergence in the Money Flow Index, better known as MFI, regarding the price action. While the asset was registering lower lows recently, the indicator showed higher readings, which reflects a reduction in the conviction of current sellers within the ecosystem.
This phenomenon usually precedes trend reversals in the crypto-asset market, as it indicates that investors are slowing down the distribution of their holdings. Therefore, if the buying volume increases, the Hedera HBAR price could confirm the exit from its current technical formation, attracting institutional interest again toward this technological project.
However, the consolidation of this scenario strictly depends on the $0.0938 level being decisively broken in the short term. Furthermore, the Coinglass liquidation map highlights that the highest concentration of bearish capital is located near the $0.10 threshold, so surpassing said mark would accelerate the momentum of recovery exponentially.
On the other hand, the close relationship of this asset with the market’s main currency remains a latent risk factor for the bulls. Being a high-performance blockchain, Hedera is not immune to general sentiment, frequently being affected when the sector leader shows signs of weakness or unexpected corrections in its daily price.
Will Bitcoin allow Hedera’s definitive advance?
The correlation between both assets has strengthened in recent months, implying that any significant pullback of the king cryptocurrency would nullify HBAR’s technical pattern. Historically, except for a brief period of decoupling in mid-2025, the Hedera HBAR price has faithfully followed macro movements, limiting its current operational autonomy.
If Bitcoin fails to generate upward momentum, the breakout scenario toward $0.1300 could be considerably delayed or even completely invalidated. Consequently, the loss of support at $0.0855 would increase the risk of a drop toward the $0.0780 zone, extending the lateral accumulation phase for a longer period of time.
In conclusion, the outlook for Hedera is optimistic from an internal perspective, but extremely dependent on the external conditions of the global financial market. The behavior of the Hedera HBAR price during the weekly close is expected to define whether bulls manage to overcome the 0.1071 resistance to project a sustainable rally toward new local highs.
Looking toward the near future, the success of this technical maneuver would validate Hedera’s resilience against the systemic volatility that currently prevails. However, investors must closely monitor both liquidation levels and capital flow into Bitcoin, as cryptocurrency market liquidity remains concentrated in larger-cap assets before flowing into altcoins.
