Gold touched a new record of 3,789 USD on 23 September 2025, and whether Bitcoin echoed that move roughly eight weeks later. A clear confirmation would give traders a timing cue and reshape how arbitrage or hedge trades are set between the two assets. Finer day-by-day price data are still missing, so the claim remains unproven.
Bitcoin often tracks gold and that the link deserves study. The test is straightforward: gold set its high on 23 September 2025, and the question is whether Bitcoin printed a similar high near eight weeks after that date. This framing offers a practical way to check timing, but it depends on complete price logs.
Eight-week echo hypothesis and test
Daily price files are still missing, so the match is not yet proven. She also notes that outside shocks can break the link; in mid-2021, Chinese exchange bans sent Bitcoin lower while gold stayed steady, and the two assets split for a time.
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) peaked at 111,503.98 USD on 22 May 2025, which muddies any direct BTC-to-gold comparison. (Definition: Wrapped Bitcoin is an ERC-20 token backed 1:1 by Bitcoin and used on Ethereum DeFi platforms.)
If the eight-week lag holds in future cycles, traders could buy gold strength and wait for Bitcoin to follow. The cue is rough and policy or tech shocks can erase it, so any application should be cautious and data-driven.
She foresees more quant funds potentially trading the signal, while warning that some models may overfit to a fixed lag and sudden regulation can still break the rhythm. Until the full data are tested, the hypothesis remains a working guide rather than a rule.
The eight-week lag as a working idea that needs full price logs. Until those logs are checked, the link remains a possible clue, not a rule, and traders should weigh it alongside other signals and risk factors.
