In the last 24 hours, the APT token has achieved a 1.8% rise settling at 1.76 dollars, exceeding expectations in the face of the imminent token unlock event. According to technical analysis models presented by CD Analytics, this movement challenges usual bearish pressures, driven by a strategic reconfiguration of institutional investors ahead of the scheduled release of additional supply on the network.
Hard data reveals frenetic and calculated activity in the Aptos market. Trading volume surged 46% above monthly averages, creating an environment of active price discovery rather than weak directional drift. The asset initially opened at 1.73 dollars only to recover to 1.77, establishing a volatile recovery pattern with a 6.2% intraday fluctuation reflecting genuine two-way interest. This uptick in activity occurs just before approximately 19.8 million dollars in new assets are injected into the market on December 12.
This behavior is highly relevant because it contradicts the usual trend where additional supply depresses prices. Analysts suggest that large players are executing a selective rotation, weighing near-term supply pressures against current positive technical momentum. On the other hand, the elevated turnover suggests that smart money is driving the 0.11 dollar intraday range, actively preparing for the token unlock event instead of withdrawing from the market out of fear of dilution. Furthermore, this positioning indicates that institutions see value at current levels despite fundamental headwinds.
Will institutional demand be able to absorb the impact of the new incoming supply?
From a technical perspective, the implications are clear for traders and the asset. Primary support has held firm in the critical 1.67 to 1.68 dollar zone following multiple successful tests, providing a solid base for the price. However, the asset faces immediate resistance at the 1.77 to 1.775 dollar level based on recent hourly highs. If peak volume, which reached 9.1 million tokens on December 7, remains constant, it could indicate that supply absorption is being effective, which would be a bullish signal for the cryptocurrencies sector and confidence in the project.
The current scenario shows a resilient APT that has managed to establish higher lows from the overnight session to the current level. As we approach the key date, the market’s ability to sustain itself above the 24-hour average volume will determine if this rise is sustainable over time. Therefore, investors must closely watch if previous resistance turns into support, thus validating the institutional bet against the imminent expansion of circulating supply.
