Hedera (HBAR) surged approximately 10% in a recent rally, amid a very weak crypto market and drawing attention for its renewed institutional activity. However, many questions remain about whether this rally is sustainable and what the immediate future holds for the token.
By the end of 2025, various market analyses highlighted that Hedera had processed over $10 billion in transactions, a figure attributed primarily to asset tokenization and cross-border use cases. This volume was presented as a sign of tangible enterprise adoption and as a differentiator from networks with activity more concentrated in DeFi or speculation.
Furthermore, the reports noted sustained developer activity, steady growth in transaction volume, and accumulation by larger portfolios. Together, these factors helped sustain the price momentum in the short term. Hedera’s governance structure, with board members such as Google, IBM, and Boeing, and its positioning as a carbon-negative network were also highlighted, elements that reinforce its enterprise-oriented narrative.
The challenges facing Hedera and potential paths to continue the rally
However, the outlook is not entirely positive. The same analyses warned that tokenomics represents a structural risk. Vesting programs could increase the circulating supply over time, generating additional selling pressure. At the same time, extremely low transaction fees reduce direct demand for the token per transaction, which may limit structural price momentum.
Hedera competes with established platforms like Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano, which are also seeking to attract developers and enterprise use cases. Although its corporate governance model sets it apart, competition for talent, capital, and applications remains intense.
On the other hand, the evolution of global regulation on crypto assets could add friction. Even networks designed with an enterprise focus may face higher compliance costs or restrictions that affect institutional flows. Thus, growth depends not only on technology but also on the regulatory environment.
Regarding projections, some articles published in late 2025 estimated that HBAR could be between $0.15 and $0.25, climb to $0.30–$0.45 in 2026–2027, and reach $0.40–$0.60 by 2030, with more optimistic scenarios projecting up to $0.75 by the end of the decade. However, these figures are contingent on sustained business adoption and a favorable market environment.
