Bitcoin is currently in a phase of technical consolidation near 91,000 dollars. Polymarket traders assign a low probability that the court will uphold the presidential emergency powers. The market is cautiously observing the final legal resolution regarding these commercial measures. Therefore, volatility could significantly increase in the coming hours of Asian trading. Furthermore, price stability reflects a waiting period among major holders of digital assets.
Jose Torres, an economist at Interactive Brokers, warns of potential fiscal risks if the ruling is adverse. If the court blocks the tariffs, the administration will seek aggressive trade alternatives to fulfill its agenda. Prolonged political uncertainty directly affects the global liquidity of financial markets. Thus, this scenario could put upward pressure on yields of long-term U.S. bonds. However, analysts suggest that the digital sector could act as a temporary haven.
During the first quarter of 2025, a phenomenon of mass sell-offs due to tariff panic was observed. This episode, known as the tariff tantrum, caused cascading liquidations of leverage. Trend-based strategies have proven to be very effective in protecting institutional capital. Consequently, investors manage to mitigate losses during sudden liquidations through active risk management. On the other hand, long-term participation has remained solid despite external noise.
Evolution of institutional confidence in the face of current geopolitical changes
Digital assets typically show a much faster recovery than traditional stocks. Even so, the impact of Trump’s tariffs on Bitcoin remains a determining factor for confidence. The correlation between assets tends to weaken gradually when political confusion spreads. Therefore, the resilience of the decentralized financial sector remains notable compared to equities. It is also important to note that trading volumes remain at healthy levels during this phase of indecision.
Cryptocurrencies now face an environment of high sensitivity to macroeconomic changes. If tariff authority is limited, the federal government will resort to much slower legal tools. The delay in commercial solutions generates persistent volatility across all emerging markets. In this way, global liquidity adjusts rapidly to these changes in national economic policy. Hence, analysts recommend maintaining a defensive stance until the full official ruling is published.
Is it possible that gold will replace the security of digital assets?
HSBC projects that gold could reach an all-time high of 5,050 dollars per ounce. This increase is based on growing geopolitical risks and the rise in global sovereign debt. Investors seek safe havens against the fiscal instability of major economies. However, gold and digital assets compete for capital in a high-inflation environment. Therefore, the precious metal could undergo a correction if geopolitical risks suddenly disappear.
The outlook for the close of the Asian trading session remains one of maximum caution. The impact of Trump’s tariffs on Bitcoin will be clarified once the judges issue a final ruling. Future perspectives depend on the regulatory clarity achieved by judicial institutions. Undoubtedly, the financial community expects rapid stabilization after the announcement of the final verdict. Meanwhile, the derivatives market shows signs of exhaustion in short-term selling pressure.
