The team of the Californian cryptostartap SFOX concluded that if in January of this year the market was dominated by “moderately bearish” sentiments, in February they changed to “moderately bullish”.
Below is the SFOX multifactor index, the values of which depend on such variables as volatility, prevailing sentiment in the market, and also indicators of industry development.
Associated with the blockchain, cryptocurrency and ICO HYIP a few minutes. The media has become less loud headlines about events in the industry. But among institutional investors, there is a steady interest in the field of digital assets.
Projects continue to work on various user cases using the blockchain. In addition, the technology is used more widely than before. Analysts are confident that the transition to the “active development stage” is one of the reasons for the gradual decrease in market volatility.
The range of price fluctuations of leading cryptoactive assets, such as BTC, ETH, BCH and LTC, declined in January (compared with the average figures for 2018).
The correlation between Bitcoin, Ether, Bitcoin Cash and Litecoin is very close:
Bitcoin correlates more closely with ether than with “digital silver”. At the same time, there is an inverse interdependence of cryptocurrency prices with the S & P 500 index and gold.
What to expect in February?
Volatility in the market will increase as you approach the expiration dates of futures. On February 13, contracts are executed on Cboe, and on February 22 – on the larger exchange CME.
Also, the amplitude of price fluctuations should increase with the approach of February 27 – the dates of the hard forks of Constantinople in the Ethereum network .
Earlier, BlockchainJournal reported that, according to a number of indicators, Bitcoin is fundamentally undervalued, steady growth will begin around the last quarter of this year.
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G7: stablecoins pose a threat to the financial system
A recent report from G7 suggests that global stablecoins can be dangerous to the stability of the financial system.
The report describes many of the risks that are associated with the use of digital currencies. It even explains that even if the companies involved in Libra could manage to solve some minor regulatory problems, they would not be able to get permission from the main regulators. The document also notes that G7 believes that no stablecoin project should have the right to start its activities until certain problems with the supervision and management of the crypto industry are resolved, all risks are eliminated.
G7 also thinks that stablecoins that have the ability to scale quickly can suppress the development of competitors and threaten financial stability, as there is a risk that users may one day be disappointed in this coin. It is anticipated that the provisions of this document will be discussed by finance ministers at the IMF's annual meeting, scheduled for this week.
Such statements explain the hostility of world regulators to Libra and TON projects. For example, Gabor Gurbaks, a digital assets strategist at VanEck, said on his Twitter blog the day before that companies, such as Visa, Mastercard, eBay, Stripe, received letters from regulators asking them not to experiment with Libra before leaving Libra. a new project, otherwise they would have additional, undesirable obligations to regulators.
The growing complexity of Bitcoin mining in 2019, how is it determined and what depends on it?
This year, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) ranged from a minimum of just over $ 3,000 to a maximum of about $ 13,000. At the same time, the complexity of BTC mining , which measures the complexity of the calculations needed to mine new coins and create new network blocks, has been growing unprecedented.
Bitcoin mining difficulty is adjusted approximately every two weeks to take into account the hashrate of new miners on the network. Despite the fact that the general trend has been upward almost since the creation of the network, short but significant failures happen. For example, in December 2018, mining complexity decreased three times in a row, the total drop was almost 30%.
In this calendar year, the difficulty of mining BTC decreased five times, but no more than 1.18%. This is unprecedented. In no previous year, the most serious drop was so low. In the entire history, at least one drop was more than 5%.
Of course, 2019 has not yet ended, but it is worth noting that at that time last year, the difficulty of mining BTC decreased only once (3.45%, which is more significant than any decrease in 2019).
If this trend continues, it will confirm that the BTC miner community is less sensitive to currency price fluctuations than ever before.
To understand why, it is worth considering the basics of the complexity of cryptocurrency mining . The Bitcoin network produces 2016 new blocks every two weeks. Maintaining this speed is important for network operation. Blocks are generated by miner computing systems that solve mathematical problems. In this case, it is appropriate to compare the miners with the players in the lottery, and the difficulty of mining is with a very low chance of each individual player to win. Each time someone “wins” the lottery, a block is created.
Since bitcoin networks need blocks that are generated at a predictable speed, the complexity of this “lottery” should vary depending on the number of “players” (miners). For example, if many miners leave the network, the mining complexity should be reduced, or the rest will not have enough power needed to generate new blocks at the speed required to maintain the network.
In fact, the Bitcoin mining system is more complicated than described above, however, according to its basic principle, the upward movement of Bitcoin this year is a bullish sign. Investors come and go, the price fluctuates up and down, but interest in Bitcoin mining is clearly growing, and this year it has become more stable than ever before.
Publication date 10/14/2019
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Europol: Bitcoin remains the most popular cryptocurrency among cybercriminals
Bitcoin is still the preferred cryptocurrency for cybercriminals, Europol stated in the annual report “Assessing the threats of organized crime on the Internet” (IOCTA 2019). “Although we previously reported a slight shift towards more private cryptocurrencies such as Monero, bitcoin is still the currency of choice for both legal and criminal use,” the organization said. In previous IOCTA reports […]
Bitcoin is still the preferred cryptocurrency for cybercriminals, Europol stated in the annual report “Assessing the threats of organized crime on the Internet” (IOCTA 2019).
“Although we previously reported a slight shift towards more private cryptocurrencies such as Monero, bitcoin is still the currency of choice for both legal and criminal use,” the organization said.
In previous IOCTA reports, the organization pointed to the growing popularity of altcoins such as Zcash, Monero, and Ethereum among cybercriminals.
This year, Monero was the only altcoin mentioned by the EU police organization in a report. It notes that the use of the coin mainly relates to darknet markets that accept or trade Monero.
Europol emphasized that Monero was widely used for hidden mining, the distribution of which has been declining throughout the current year. The latter is partially due to the termination of the Coinhive browser mining service in March, the organization said.
Recall, it was previously reported that the volume of bitcoin transactions in the darknet for 2019 may exceed $ 1 billion.
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